Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Audible | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tingus Pingus | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Mania | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big D | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smols | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colt Forty Seven | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cuzin Roscoe | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brooklynn Drew | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mezcalifornia | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Candy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Quality | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viral Plane Lady | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alta Avenue | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mo Magic | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Berlinwin | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | P. O. S. H. Posh | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Nvida | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Lady | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Sweets | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crown of Violence | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Epic Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quatrocento | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emmanuel | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Invader | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paros | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Quality | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kupuna | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good Mojo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Ghost Me | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | D Bigalow | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Policy Change | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Rock | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Game Day | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Tzu | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Em’ Out | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flamefire | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Prada | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Into the Beast | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Rocket | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Himothy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eleos | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Brew | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gentleman Jim | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | U Jheremy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Rogue | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cliffs | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Virgin Colada | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Modern Sound | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girls Rock | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Exclusive Star | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Les Is Best | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tickin Time Blonde | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dawn After Dawn | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | La Marinera | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheila’s Lion | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romany Road | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Carson Street | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Slam Sam | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mesquite | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Valance | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Shot | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sartorial | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apollo Eleven | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Gun | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Landry | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mimicry | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mom’s Spaghetti | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Astound | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Curl | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beer Run | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Innovator | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floodlites | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G T Five Hundred | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trouble Time | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rowdy Riot | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Gesture | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evan On Earth | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.