Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Audible | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Mania | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tingus Pingus | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smols | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big D | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colt Forty Seven | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cuzin Roscoe | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brooklynn Drew | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Candy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Quality | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mezcalifornia | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viral Plane Lady | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Nvida | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alta Avenue | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Berlinwin | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mo Magic | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Lady | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crown of Violence | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Sweets | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | P. O. S. H. Posh | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Northern Invader | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paros | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epic Ride | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emmanuel | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Quality | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kupuna | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quatrocento | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | D Bigalow | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Policy Change | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Mojo | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Em’ Out | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Game Day | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Rock | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Prada | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flamefire | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Ghost Me | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Run Tzu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Into the Beast | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentleman Jim | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eleos | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U Jheremy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Himothy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Brew | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Rocket | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Roman Rogue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cliffs | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Exclusive Star | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Virgin Colada | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Modern Sound | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Les Is Best | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sheila’s Lion | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tickin Time Blonde | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romany Road | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girls Rock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dawn After Dawn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | La Marinera | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Carson Street | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Gun | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Valance | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mesquite | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mom’s Spaghetti | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Apollo Eleven | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Shot | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Astound | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Landry | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mimicry | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Curl | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Slam Sam | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sartorial | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beer Run | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Innovator | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G T Five Hundred | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Gesture | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trouble Time | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rowdy Riot | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evan On Earth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Floodlites | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.