Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bobby Brinkley | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mor Victory | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Reid | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Trouble | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aaron | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ti Caillou | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trevaggio | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hit One Out | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Strike Ridge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hello Hot Rod | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stans Home Run | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Perliano | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Appleseed | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slew Skies | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Doc | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call of Honor | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Wisdom | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Breeze | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Synoptic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovereignorme | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mirror | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dig Baby Dig | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Knicks Now | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speaker Baby | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Pick | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sabrina Rayne | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Witt’s Dubai Gal | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Affair | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boltoro | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Open Court | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saranac Lake | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Okie Love | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Prairie Gal | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Shadows | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Connection | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Templar Red | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Glory O | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reseda | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saltwater Taffy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mozetti | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Joy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ngala | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Claire June | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapitsgotapistol | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Zone | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Kendra | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Slide Show H.) – Slide Show H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lanaluah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cyndi Loper | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Momacya | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inca Code | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Miss Brisket | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Easter Gift | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Popularity | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Don C. Mcneill S.) – Don C. Mcneill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | How About Bob | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nucleus | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royalamerican | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ztwentyeight | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Title Talk | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Tristan | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Am What I Am | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Docket | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Silver Goblin H.) – Silver Goblin H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | C W Prize | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Hero | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Connors Outlaw | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tzedakah | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Code Nate | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missin Hollywood | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Hanby | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salt Creek Kid | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Momissioner | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moneyline | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inaclassofmyown | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Prize | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mohaymen Holiday | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riding Double | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Code | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Life At Sea | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roaring Rapids | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Withering Gaze | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Reign | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stumpy’s Love Song | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.