Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pura Vida Princesa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bint Al Dandy (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magica | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musical Song | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Perfect Wave | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Gem | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tamarando Beach | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Step Beyond | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Voucher | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tascadero | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shadowban | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Old Timer | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Margot’s Boy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sharp Aza Tack | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Please Focus | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hacking It Up | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harcyn | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Player B | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Simplexity (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Betterdaysrcoming (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commander (FR) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Autism Puzzle | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Law Abiding | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dinos Dixie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Captivator | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | House of Mischief | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In the Mix | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Time | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khonsu | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharons Angels | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caves | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Like and Subscribe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Certitude (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laudatory | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Word Play (GB) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moment’s Pleasure | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baltic Fire | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jane Austen | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sakura Blossom | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princesa Moche (PER) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No More Ding Dongs | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naismith | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ya’ll Come | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Horizon Wildcat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Call Paul | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spiritist | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Rain | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischief Moments | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drum Bunny | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Joker | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Demps | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quantum Innergy | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dorie Miller | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Mendelssohn | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mendelssohns Angel | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shamrockin | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Life | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Lake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (The Chosen Vron S.) – The Chosen Vron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Man O Rose | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clovisconnection | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shea Brennan | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stamp My Passport | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Um | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Style Cat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Heisman | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Left Hand Man | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jack Fish | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Known Idea | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stolen Treasure | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grazed | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cardiff Crack | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Patriot | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of Dragons | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mav Man | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Percival | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.