Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Autumn’s Turn | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here’syourtrouble | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flaming Spirit | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cara’s Chianti | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tizallmine | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snide | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Courting | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Big Bad Wolf | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grittiness | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stream It | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo’ Script | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fourth Dimension | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Awad S.) – Awad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Throckmorton | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Squad Goals | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zuby | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Boy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Aldo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Should’ve | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Art | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hong Kong Phooey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tongue Twister | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sail With the Wind | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clearwater Beach | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bertrille | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Beauty | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Power Nap | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Melody | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farm House | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Capital Gal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lika Rolling Stone | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Grace and Grit | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Obliterator | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talk to Me Jimmy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Riddle | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaz Dominator | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Boy | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Point | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Adirondacker | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Le Cadeau | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re Lookin Good | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hangover Heaven | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slightly Busy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Rocket | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silsbee | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kerry | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soloshot | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accelerated News | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Return | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | City Blocks | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ariana Rye | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mommasgottagun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Night Jasmine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fire Agate | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On a Summer Day | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Addagirl Addie | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Low Low | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kat Stormy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Delilah | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A. P. Slingshot | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heavens Lee | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jalimar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doomed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desperate Proposal | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sittin Chilly | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Be Smart | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nantz | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broderick | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mackville | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Detail Oriented | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bulldoze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Devil of Ramadi | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jurisprudence | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Savvy | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hamilton’s Way | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ez Roll | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cognoscenti | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Browne | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Kreesa | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Film Academy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Can See That | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spirit of the Law | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sebastianthe First | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mission Hill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Adventurist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gotta Guy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ready Set Twirl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.