Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trango Tower 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Metfardeh 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Harmonique 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Raghba 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 She’s a Gemma 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 High Note 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Stone Cold Kelly 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spirit of Esther 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 That’sthefactjack 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Furry Fox 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bourbon N Lace 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cha Cha Wren 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kyle’s Mom 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Toxic Girl 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Proud Foot 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 My First Love 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jackie the Joker 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Majestic Return 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Defended 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Champagne Surprise 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Edistrudis 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mission Hill 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 McDiesel 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magni 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fever Night 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cocktailsnkringle 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Adventurist 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sergeant Capps 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gotta Guy 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tomschickenfingers 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Makeyourmoment 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Carc Brothers 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sammy C Note 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Pretrial Statement 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rhyton 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pazz the Soy Sauce 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Orie 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Until Last Call 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Fric and Frac 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Alzero 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Isola d’Oro 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lodato 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Strobe Light 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 It a Lee 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Out of the Fog 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 River Empress 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Lendalfoot 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Doppio Espresso 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Noisetomakenoise 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Smiling Rosie 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Avery’s Wonderland 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Salt Princess 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Karey 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Miss Magical 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Angelic Quality 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Mariposa Moon 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Honor the Numbers 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 One Bad Habit 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shared Success 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sheriff Bianco 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Refuah 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pineapple Man 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Aggregation 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cut the Cord 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Leftembehind 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shadow Dragon 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dolly’s Bank 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Collect From Ike 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Let It Ride 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Musical Maestro 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Marcus Gift 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Korrongo 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Exploration 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Typhoon Fury 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Big Z Og 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Devil in Disguise 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Complex Music 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 City of Oscars 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Irrelevant 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Will Not Be Swayed 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Social Hour 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Storm the Streets 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Alexis Zorba (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gilbane 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Exhibition Only 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Magnum’s Macrobrst 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mr Browns Town 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Rafa Junior 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fazzone 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Classic Commander 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lexington Pike 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Natural Shooter 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Brilliant Fury 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Gaborone 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Mo Spice 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Narnia 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Grumblyrumhogan 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Introubleagain 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Neigh Baby 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.