Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Gemma | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Note | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harmonique | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Metfardeh | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trango Tower | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raghba | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Cold Kelly | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kyle’s Mom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Furry Fox | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Esther | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Wren | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon N Lace | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toxic Girl | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | That’sthefactjack | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proud Foot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Defended | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Edistrudis | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Return | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie the Joker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My First Love | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Surprise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Guy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sergeant Capps | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cocktailsnkringle | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | McDiesel | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Hill | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magni | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adventurist | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fever Night | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Out of the Fog | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pazz the Soy Sauce | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sammy C Note | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tomschickenfingers | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Makeyourmoment | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Until Last Call | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fric and Frac | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rhyton | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lodato | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It a Lee | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Carc Brothers | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pretrial Statement | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Orie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alzero | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Isola d’Oro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strobe Light | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River Empress | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor the Numbers | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salt Princess | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lendalfoot | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avery’s Wonderland | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mariposa Moon | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doppio Espresso | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karey | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noisetomakenoise | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Bad Habit | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Rosie | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Angelic Quality | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Magical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aggregation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shadow Dragon | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cut the Cord | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pineapple Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Refuah | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shared Success | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leftembehind | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sheriff Bianco | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dolly’s Bank | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Devil in Disguise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let It Ride | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will Not Be Swayed | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Typhoon Fury | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Maestro | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City of Oscars | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marcus Gift | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Korrongo | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irrelevant | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Collect From Ike | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Exploration | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Z Og | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Complex Music | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Social Hour | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Storm the Streets | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr Browns Town | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fazzone | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilbane | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Natural Shooter | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gaborone | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exhibition Only | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lexington Pike | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rafa Junior | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Fury | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magnum’s Macrobrst | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Introubleagain | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Narnia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Classic Commander | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mo Spice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Grumblyrumhogan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Neigh Baby | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.