Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pyromania | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flame Rock Fire | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bradford | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Streak | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaucode | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fierce Cat | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chahta Citizen | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | M King Baby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Dakota | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Confucius | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Stormy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Insignis | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stiff Drink | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Picasso Baby | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap to Connect | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbacoa | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Raft | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Brad | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McZ | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top Notch Protocol | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deelitesandimsum | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zong’s Favor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Ruler | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berndt Marshmallow | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Closing Agent | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nathan Henry | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tommie’s True | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Leo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Home Visit | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Courtman | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sono | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Like This | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Juan Hill | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Deal Me Aces | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Bert | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Verdict | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Rachel | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spinning Aces | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gabe’s Possum | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Jackpot | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running Bayou | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Hope | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripple D Ruller | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Boy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anacreon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Strong Prospect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Again | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summertime Peppers | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aller Vite | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No More Business | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Temple City Run | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Ramirez | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Dad’s Guitar | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Sopo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rite On Sam | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Keepsake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Mischief | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Has It All | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Save the Queen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovelyredstilettos | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ourpeppermintcandy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sophistry | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pot’s Paycheck | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unshakeable Proof | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Puckster | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Bodie | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yakety Yock | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righthoofleftright | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quikonthetrigger | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stanley Little Boy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatdidwedo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Lagarto | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.