Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 13, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Vector 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Leading Role 1.40 1.1 2-1
6 6 Wajda 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Cool Hand Rich 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Enduring Spirit 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Majestic Arc 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Systemic Change 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Skylander 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Cicciobello 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Brew Pub 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Tabeguache 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Suerte 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Hours in a Day 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hellacious 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Snare 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Joker On Fire 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dew 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 How About It 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Private Flight 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Billy White Shoes (IRE) 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Nod to Tran 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Strobe Light 30.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Katerina Ristova 50.00 7 13-1
14 14 Momentum Files 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Carc Brothers 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Free Spin 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Magnanimous Max 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Fiddling Felix 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Stanza 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Peek 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Winter’s Ghost 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 O P Firecracker 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bob John Ray 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Commandperformance 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Tiberius Mercurius 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Run Happy Pappy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cara’s Dreamchaser 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Raynham Hall 8.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Livin the Breeze 4.50 3.3 6-1
14 14 Starship Ava 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Valiant Diva 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Intothewilderness 15.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Joropo 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Silly Season 2.50 8 15-1
11 11 Wayward Queen 30.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Be Golden 15.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Bernina Express 10.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Makealittlelove 20.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Hanna’s Hideaway 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Amicus Curiae 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Factory Setting 1.40 SCRATCH
15 15 Cathedral Aisle 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Space Legend (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mutaawid 3.50 2.4 4-1
11 11 Beuys (IRE) 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 King d’Oro 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Create Trouble 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Card Trick 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Dirand (IRE) 3.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Dupont Law (IRE) 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Interceptor 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Land d’Oro 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Charles J 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Playa Del Mar 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Complex Agenda 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Senza Parole 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Filly Crystal 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Army Gal 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mazayaat 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Grammy Girl 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Despo’s Dream 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Practical Lov 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 She’s Fascinating 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Sandy’s Garden 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shadyside 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Key Cents S.) – Key Cents S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s Country 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Boomington 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Cosmic Candy Girl 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Sacred Goddess 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Fancy Lights 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Considerate City 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Miss Moxee 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Neshika 8.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Maria Callas 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wicked Improbable 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 A Bourbon for Toby 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Operation Overlord 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Disclaimer 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Mortal Lock 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tiz Freedom 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Limo 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Stargell 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Klimt Master 50.00 8 15-1
11 11 Blue Pill 50.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Roger Roger 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Salvation 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.