Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Southeastern | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Talisman | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More Kings | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Telecaster | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wingfoot | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lennie G | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Six String Prince | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out Flat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flaming Embers | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strong State | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lynn’s Milky Way | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Her Laugh | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Modo | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosato | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Amalfitana | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caramel Chip | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oscar Eclipse | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Luck | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olazabal | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Furious Anger | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inexorable | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gunner Bay | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unload | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excel Calculator | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Patron Silver | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bohemian | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paseo | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lowenstein (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mother Green | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Labile | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhapsody in Motion | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sea Zest | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holly Hetty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tender Temper | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | La Puma | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Minstrelly | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roccabella | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Modern Escape | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Danzig’s Dora | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Quest | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Publicity | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promissione | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shortstop | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Lead | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enough Already | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun It and Run It | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chances Taken | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greatdayforhockey | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Train and Trust | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ghost Prince | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Redeposit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble Ahead | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy the Train | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sokota | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Inspired Glory | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jinxzi | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bo Bo Dough | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ponca | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Pop | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Berniedott | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Max the Butler | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King’s Plan | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Killjoy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Salt Lick | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Peanut | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsinmyblood | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hedge | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charbonnay | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beezer | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baxter | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mor Success | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Somethingdangerous | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Norme de Jour | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prize Pick | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sockdolager | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Unauthorized | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Steel Golden | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Authority | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Days Ahead | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbonkoma | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crupper | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sure to Appeal | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Cricket Neck | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Brilliant Bomb | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Met Cupid | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Because of Love | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Our Starry Night | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heart Headed | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smokey Smokey | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let My People Go | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Go Captain | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eakly | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Linzer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Alder | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Attache | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jakajaro (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mischievous Rogue | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Legacy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surf City | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hedwig | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Foxtrotanna | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Innately Good | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ivory and Ebony | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Omaha | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Low Key | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Five a Side | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crimsonite | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Union Mist | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scooch Over | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jewel Box | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faire Plaisir | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quinn’s Promise | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Aviso | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lobby Rendezvous | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Nancy S | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vino Tiempo | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.