Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hittin My Stride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Destiny’s Grace | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of a Sparrow | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takeittothehouse | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Ella | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saucy Gem | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nownowdancer | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Spicy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying I | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Missheartbreaker | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sissue | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Isabel | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Justice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Dealority | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ground Control | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Gold | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rusty’s Sunrise | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agami | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scar Ship | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Dean | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Exaggerating | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Lake | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lee Street | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Minimus Maximus | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Martin’s Mo Tom | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dirty Deal | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gary P | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alotlikechocolate | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Drop | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | He’s Therealdeal | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Target | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kerrigan’s Touch | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perceptive | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beulah K | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Craftroom | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Tourist | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lacis Jewel | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pasila | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Destiny | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glistening Gal | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runtolive | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Basile | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swamp Queen | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightening Mo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lassie Bee | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Everloving | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy for Me | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Walkinaftermidnite | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Map Needed | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Signora Vittoria | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Leona | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Star | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gimme It All | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitofaqueen | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thousand Angels | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Game and Gormley | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Tap Baby | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dewclaw | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Star | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Thimble | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chad’s Flash | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takeover Fiftyfour | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hap Hot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Xperiment | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Know How | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Edge | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tussling Charlie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Academic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fiesty Fist | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Eagle | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doctored Deal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Max Is G Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Monopoly Man | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Breeze | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Metallic Mischief | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concentration | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Knight | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King’s Lute | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Screen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eligio | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.