Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 6 |
6 |
Island Charm |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Luciana’s Honor |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Whatta Weekend |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Cathedral Aisle |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Catholic Vice |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Ivy Girl |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Delver |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 1 |
1 |
Carolina Smokeshow |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Take Me to Londyn |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Auroralinna |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Timia |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Ragtime Sizzle |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Calling an Audible |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Tough Love Torres |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 3 |
3 |
Tizmarkus |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Blue Kingdom |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Trust Issues |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Pass the Hat |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
My Mitole |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Buttah |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Ican |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 6 |
6 |
Scope |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 11 |
11 |
Copa de Plata |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Boss Henry |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
A Little At First |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Woodster |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
| 12 |
12 |
Fleet N Ready |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Bellamy |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Norris |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Print |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Royal Quest |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Brass Nucks |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
| 13 |
13 |
Fightforallegiance |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 14 |
14 |
Gulfy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 4 |
4 |
Lucky Larry |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 6 |
6 |
Master of Arms |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Cathedral Beach |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Grouch |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Glint |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Bold Victory |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
For Some Reason |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Nobodyridesforfree |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Indianquest |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Ahsad |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 10 |
10 |
One Last Knock |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Artistic Success |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Alpine Giant |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Long Legged Queen |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Miss Bourbon |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Willful Mama |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
| 11 |
11 |
Inamorata |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Fifi La Fume |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Twirling Lulu |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Royal Event |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
| 12 |
12 |
Clearwater Beach |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 14 |
14 |
Munnings Express |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 6 |
6 |
No Factor |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 13 |
13 |
Howling Wind |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Jockey Club Oaks) – Jockey Club Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 7 |
7 |
Laurelin (IRE) |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Fionn |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Hereforagoodtime |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Evershed (IRE) |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Don’t Jinx It |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Scythian |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
National Archive |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Unmerited Favor |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 2 |
2 |
Long Pour |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Three B’s |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Share the Ludt |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Skytown |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Roofer |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Corvus |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Empire Sky |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 1 |
1 |
Manhattan Twist |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Knickerbocker S.) – Knickerbocker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 7 |
7 |
Air Recruit |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Trikari |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Dear Dad |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Ohana Honor |
1.40 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Signator |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Fuerteventura |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Naptown |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Ohio Joe |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Bank Frenzy |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 3 |
3 |
Sharing Wisdom (GB) |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Mis Brunellas |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Delightful Darling |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Siouxse |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
| 12 |
12 |
Isadora Duncan (IRE) |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 11 |
11 |
Atlantic Beach |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Just Tell Anne |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Perfect Twirl |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Quality Street |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Banco Di Sicilia |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 4 |
4 |
Abigail |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 5 |
5 |
Libero |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 13 |
13 |
Cravings |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
