Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Things | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Superfly Chick | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tracy Arm | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Samartina (FR) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fleury | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Likely Story | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinzie Girl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Vinnie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Tongue | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Knight | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drogon | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Entry | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carrick On Stage | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Peak | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Please Don’t Go | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | M C Luvin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Groot | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Realm | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Audax Minor | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good King Sam | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tutti Contenti | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapid Grey | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agile Dancer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Times a Breeze | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trevally | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Warrior (JPN) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turbo Charged | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Digital Security | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanhedrin | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mad World | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Found Money | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Potato | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Power | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magna Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graffiti Writer | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowman’s Run | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Worsley | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flirting With Fire | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watsonville Red | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | C C Athena | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Think I Can (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Goose | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wunhappy Wabbit | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Position | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Japonka | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Socially Intact | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Doll | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Myhusbandsagenius | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lorraine’s Beauty | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alpha Gamma Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Zip | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mew N Me | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cairo Girl | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Really Big Show | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Ready | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Sunset | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souped Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twin City | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin’ Rocket | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playmea Tune | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Piper’s Factor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tour the City | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aristotle | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Journeyman | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Kabong | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One More Brew | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fly the W | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Atlantique | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Cohete | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Crime | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Mambo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War in Charge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jaggersgotagun | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bet365 Kennedy Road S.) – Bet365 Kennedy Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nobals | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Western Whirl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Score | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Bourbon | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reload’s Rascal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Society’s Thunder | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Veery | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Painter | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talk to Ya Later | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lupa (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zealous Moon | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Visions | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Her Money | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Design | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Workout Affair | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Galley Head | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Valentine | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Logistics | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Sky | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Voice From Above | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday With Amy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bravo Kate | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Very Savvy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hay Hay Paula | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clarayouthebest | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Cash Factor | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Capture | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.