Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Plaza Cue | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nana Grace | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Suite | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashes and Diamonds | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bit of Frost | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Girl | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noroomformischief | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Menkaure | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Wife | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Killa Sally | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Light My Flame | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sticker Shocked | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tactical Command | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Marelow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Well Aware | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Lady | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Animal Fries | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Acclaim | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skylarose | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Salty | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Buttercup | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheyenne Moon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth Wheel | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Good Long Cry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surprenant Cocca | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cha Cha Chukka | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dozen Diamonds | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bread to Run | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Authentic | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ce La Vi Charli | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy’n Connected | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheila’s Lion | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Heat | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Doc Bovie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Backside | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barker | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Saikali | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arthur Jr | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Woodson | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buddy Mac | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Globalist | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Temps | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exhilaration | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bestfriend Rocket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carolo Rapido | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gasoline | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Chic | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yellow Brick | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hern | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Target | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slip Mahoney | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | C F V Bullet | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Emi | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hop Sing | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chillax | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pagode | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fountain Lake | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Write Off Jerry | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Up Doc | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Energize | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricanes Ablowin | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Designer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slay the Day | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Hankerin | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamondintherough | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Matters | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Aunt Sheryl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run On States | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yasmin | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Baby Hello | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lockdownyourtown | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Epic Prankster | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Julie | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Moon | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Smoked Peach | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Mischief | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Moon Spun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tales of The Heart (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Niki Nine Doors | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Say It | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dala | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mom’s Palace | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rileys Redemption | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Continuity | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Trouble | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hideki | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Performer | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Note | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Caberneigh | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Laughnowcrylater | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Society | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Excel Calculator | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Papa Yo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thrilla | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fountain Run | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Bruiser | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Anthonian | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Did It Dialed | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tyler’s Turn | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moral | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anglican | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Best | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Utopian | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.