Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Ready Set Twirl | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Better Watch It | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Surge | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Your Mission | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Outlaw | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heaven’s Champion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Latin Rebel | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Basic Miles | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balance of Power | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Il Marchesse | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maupansant | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Country Charlie | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kitten’s Ploy | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Zihuatanejo | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caseofthemondays | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pont Aven | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Kid | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skillian | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Code of Silence | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make It Quick | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Lino | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hammer of Justice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freedom Glider | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Hero Code | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ataturk | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rebellious Type | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oxford Union | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bully for You | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nogradi | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Oligarch | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madefromliona | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Enduring Angel | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modern Master | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Katmandu | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | My Lucky Ace | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Where’s Ray | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Idea | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maya Prince | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boat’s a Rockin | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Java Buzz | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Jon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Cat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turbulent Force | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souzak (FR) | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pallino | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monster Mason | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Anotherhope | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Youmakemecharlie | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder in Paris | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bond’s Belle | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost River | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curl N Rod | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ade | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | South Pacific | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just the Thing | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hall Monitor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Robert’s Moon | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caddiemaster | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Tone | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaking Suspicion | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agent Kelly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Where’s Charlie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Wicked Boss | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tap the Candy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | White Blue | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deportivo | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Licorice | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brewmaster | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wonder Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afterneath | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Patria | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Zeta | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | River Tay (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fivecommatwo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gilda’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Lamb Chop | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Whirl | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Maddie Ten | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Velvet Vixen | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Furmanator | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Reassess | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Dutchess | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Indy Magic | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mika | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Majestic Tiger | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Mad Banker | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Accelerate | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amy’s Music | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rhythm ‘n Blues | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holiday Express | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collection Day | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masayoshi | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Border War | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Primed to Go | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 15A | 15 | Outrunner | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Hyde | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cloud Music | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paraclete | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Snookie Bear | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskeyinthejaro | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ennis Town | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Name It | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phil’s Prince | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Koru | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Keys | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nothingbutbluesky | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T Rex | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Addicted to You | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Uncle Irish | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pudge Boy Palace | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Renegade | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Admit Nothing | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Alilnalot | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shogun Be Fast | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Agent | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.