Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tommaso | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elgin Park | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Encore Mo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dave’s Legacy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Cape | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bongino Warrior | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Semper Liber | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pelee Island | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Decision | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Compton | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starvin | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Professor Reload | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Armino | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Deputy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blondina’s Boy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fourlegsgood | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Be King | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maker’s Flatter | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catch the Ace | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Rambo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twentytwo Soles | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Waitingforaholiday | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imyourmedicineman | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Not a Care | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decadent Danish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abino Bay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Perfect | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | You and Me Baby | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Allbetsareoff | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Liza | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bertha | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gus’s Drumbeet | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Almasty | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Connection | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Maxi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Song | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unheard | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princessonamission | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Name | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Tenacious | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Might Bee Trouble | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zippy Gamble | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | World Showcase | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pierre | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phillip My Wine | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Label | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thornbury | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Countryboysurvive | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaggersgotagun | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Motion Granted | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mohaymen Diamond | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Celebrity Ro | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serenading Kitten | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vazhi | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Magnificent | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Serenity | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Z Train (IRE) | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Appeal | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ratings Upgrade (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reload Eh | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Promising | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mikelle | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neenah | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Cruiser | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Jade | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Anastasia | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determined First | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nantuckets Day | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | English Actor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Possiblemente | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lac Macaza | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Determinedly | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Catch | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Again | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No More Options | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Westside Tide | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skyro | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dai Vernon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Lake Ontario S.) – Lake Ontario S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sedburys Ghost | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Screen | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kekoa | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dewolf | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ciunas | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stratus | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mymathes Correct | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shinigami | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Ashbridges Bay S.) – Ashbridges Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brengungirl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ella It Is | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hint | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Pierre | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aussie Hyper | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Juicy Hanna | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Posey | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Moment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Walter Me Lad | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Moment | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Designated Hitter | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Alacran | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ask in My Name | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bachelor Pad | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stonks | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Master Spy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jamiesta | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Intent | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Break the Spell | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.