Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Always in Play | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tush Push | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In the Biz | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wanting Attention | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uptown Art | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Samantha’s Capo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Confrontational | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rhysie’s Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Soar Richard | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Davola | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Planet | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Cabana | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fastidious | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taporical | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dosser | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stillwater Moon | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | It’s Game Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rackataptap | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amatteroftime | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cobble Road | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youbetterbejoking | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Marco | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jayjaydee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Always Laughing | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mavilus | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wow Lucky | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noisy On the Bay | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Date Night Kisses | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racey Ruby | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coalville | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Au Some Warrior | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Miss Neil | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson’s Legacy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roxton | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crack the Code | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addyson’s Dream | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Drunkle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guaio | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Advice | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scudetto | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back East | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pontiac | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobo Liver | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Alex | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Runner | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Practical Coach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Heist | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Action | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Granted Success | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Track of My Tears | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Whips | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Irish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beware of Pride | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Thunder | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leo’s Legacy | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cap Steak Robbery | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Dream | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Composer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Synergy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extrasexymcsteemee | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Leftover Sushi | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flower Mound | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ree Nee’s Six | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mended We Stand | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Could Be a Cougar | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempest Rising | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarborough Fair | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Umbral | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Aficionado | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Endeavor | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Asmodeus | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nicole’s King | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ryan’s Fleet | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amedeus Music | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Road | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khopesh | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River’s Gamble | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Book Runner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.