Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goldenageactress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Muppet | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Note | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onmywaytosavthday | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Look Back | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theoretically | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moringa | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quibble | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Publisher | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up Country | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crisis Manager | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Man | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chowser | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bestball | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Morunning | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Expect the Best | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Shot | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Pants | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Weaponized | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Army Hero | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wind Rider | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Odorico | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barca Billy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What Say Thee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Technique | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye On Ry | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right to Win (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Legacy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Black Powder | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Masteroffoxhounds | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mena | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moogie Son | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ocean Pointe | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One True Shance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Farm Team | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiverton (GB) | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Graydaria | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Search | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Hoss | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lobo Salvaje | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Polster | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sweetalkingbourbon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Protective | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm the Streets | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patton’s Tizzy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tyler’s Turn | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Farley Hall | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suited and Booted | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Belong Here | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guardian | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Cordobes | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Sovereign | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Western Run | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Bobo | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bessamay | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kicking Clear | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cant Stop Munnings | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elko County | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marshal | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theodore George | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ryan’s Shadow | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Guy Mick | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Clay | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr Skylight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goodasiwonswas | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Augusta Melody | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kavod | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finster | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suncroft | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lunar Module | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sinner’s Sin | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edge to Edge | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bebedouro | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thoughtthatcounts | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Nine Hundred | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Echo Again | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eglise | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taylor’s Version | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ajaayb | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep It Easy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy American | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lips Say Bliss | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chip Honcho | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Phila Street | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fuzzbuster | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Light | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stable Hero | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corona de Oro | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sartorial | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Refined Design | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Power Boost | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marauder | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Task Force O | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McFasty | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Redemption Hour | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Magic Moose | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Project | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.