Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Indy Charge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johnson | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | After the Game | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Redesdale | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crigler | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Humor | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freddie by a Nose | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaiian Argument | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Shadow | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Cheese Bread | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’busker | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love in the Dark | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riptide Rose | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | This Gray Mischiev | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mid West Fun | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gigi’s Luv | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Five Leaf Clover | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Clear | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inez | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talkabout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Baby Jane | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Hint | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blazing Saber | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uninspired | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steve’s Trouble | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Like Clockwork | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lincoln Production | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toms Lucky Mo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cut Day | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Box of Candy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Embrace My Heart | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Easy Eddie A | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mo Can Do | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glacial Power | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quinnsaltyofficer | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Liam and Alan | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyz Warning | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Auto Dial | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Express | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Staniel Cay | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deal Em Justice | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ciel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Changing Times | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dried Pepper | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Express | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothdini | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baron of the Nile | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zong Tough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Napoleonic Code | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Barton | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | William Gustavo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Two Worlds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Global Pride | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Boss Soss | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron in the Fire | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sophie’s Painter | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Idol | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Jam | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muffin Nuts | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slew City Henry | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grunt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Girl in Red | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nomoretanlines | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Exaggeration | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grace the Kingdom | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raise the Alarm | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Mood | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Glass | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Madie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amy D | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Drobny | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Boss | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You’re On Mute | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Second Louie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arromax | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dustin the Diamond | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Kings | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Kimosabi | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | White Ice | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.