Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fit to Fly 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sawyer Fox 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Hoff 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Prince Lancelot (GB) 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Twirling Roses 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Achromedoutcat 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 Envelope Please 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Gavel 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Spoken Code 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Charbon 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Agatino (IRE) 12.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Dan d’Oro 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Cathy’s Boy 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dixie Doctor 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Equal Force 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Steel Venom 3.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Gorostieta’s Love 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 No Rematch 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Supremely 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Backfire 8.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Flipping Fish 10.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Crime Spree 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Premium 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Butcher Holler 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 B W P Spirit 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 The Speedy One 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Letshaveonemore 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Shriner 15.00 6 11-1
13 13 Glenn’s Jumper 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Onasa 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Whiskey and Easy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Scully 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Skip the Line 12.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 South Side 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Ben Dreaming 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Courageously 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Red Road 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 People Force 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Little Rocky 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 He Gots to Go 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 American Dollars 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Super Wise 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Clarestown 20.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Boitano 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Dick Best 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Z Z’s Prince 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Notion 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (John Valene Memorial S.) – John Valene Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Highly Wicked 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rising Inflation 1.40 1.5 3-1
5 5 Norah G 1.80 3 6-1
4 4 Clearly a Test 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 For Harper 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Pickin Ana Grinnin 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.) – Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Two Good Old Guys 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mor Force 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Our Moneyman 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Mr Mo Money 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Dynamite Tonight 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Imperial Cruiser 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Luna C 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Chariot 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sissy Sox 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Caroom’s Croupier 15.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Via 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Quick Kiss 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Aegis 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Copper Wind 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Outro 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Hay Y’all 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brit’s Wit 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Funnyflame 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ambition 4.50 2.5 5-1
12 12 Van Ginkel 20.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Lucky Mischief 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Boy Boy 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Juris Doctor 5.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Mary’s Boy Bolt 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Arthur’s Court 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Savion 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 E Lion 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Cash App Mike 20.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Critical Threat 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 I’m Your Man 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cobblestone Bridge 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Go Get Trae 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Chariot 10.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Von Erich 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Antiphon 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Wherethehitsare 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Deal Me Trips 4.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Creole Chrome 3.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Bad Joke 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Dr Hinckley 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Joey D 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dickie T 10.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Lil Central 10.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 A G’s Charlie 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 My Kinda Deal 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Shalom 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.