Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hoff 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Sawyer Fox 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Fit to Fly 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Gavel 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Prince Lancelot (GB) 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Envelope Please 6.00 4 7-1
2 2 Twirling Roses 12.00 8 15-1
7 7 Achromedoutcat 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Steel Venom 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Dan d’Oro 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Charbon 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Dixie Doctor 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 No Rematch 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Spoken Code 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Cathy’s Boy 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Equal Force 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Agatino (IRE) 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Gorostieta’s Love 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Supremely 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Premium 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Crime Spree 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 B W P Spirit 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Letshaveonemore 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Backfire 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Butcher Holler 8.00 4.5 9-1
13 13 Glenn’s Jumper 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Flipping Fish 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Shriner 15.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Onasa 20.00 13 25-1
12 12 Whiskey and Easy 20.00 13 25-1
6 6 The Speedy One 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Scully 1.60 1 2-1
10 10 Red Road 4.50 3.4 6-1
13 13 Boitano 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ben Dreaming 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 American Dollars 8.00 6.2 12-1
16 16 Dick Best 10.00 7.9 15-1
14 14 Z Z’s Prince 10.00 7.9 15-1
15 15 Notion 10.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Courageously 12.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Little Rocky 12.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 South Side 12.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Skip the Line 12.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 People Force 15.00 11.9 23-1
4 4 He Gots to Go 15.00 11.9 23-1
11 11 Clarestown 20.00 16 30-1
1 1 Super Wise 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (John Valene Memorial S.) – John Valene Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rising Inflation 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Norah G 1.80 1.2 2-1
6 6 Highly Wicked 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Clearly a Test 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Pickin Ana Grinnin 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 For Harper 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.) – Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dynamite Tonight 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Our Moneyman 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Two Good Old Guys 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Mr Mo Money 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Mor Force 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Imperial Cruiser 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Luna C 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Chariot 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quick Kiss 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Copper Wind 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Outro 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Aegis 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Sissy Sox 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Via 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Caroom’s Croupier 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Hay Y’all 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brit’s Wit 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ambition 4.50 1.4 3-1
10 10 Juris Doctor 5.00 1.9 4-1
13 13 Critical Threat 6.00 2.8 5-1
14 14 I’m Your Man 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Funnyflame 6.00 2.8 5-1
15 15 Cobblestone Bridge 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lucky Mischief 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Arthur’s Court 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Savion 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Mary’s Boy Bolt 15.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 E Lion 15.00 10.6 20-1
12 12 Van Ginkel 20.00 15 28-1
6 6 Cash App Mike 20.00 15 28-1
9 9 Boy Boy 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Creole Chrome 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Deal Me Trips 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Wherethehitsare 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Bad Joke 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Dickie T 10.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Lil Central 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Von Erich 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Joey D 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Dr Hinckley 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Chariot 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Antiphon 12.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 A G’s Charlie 12.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 My Kinda Deal 12.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Go Get Trae 20.00 15 28-1
15 15 Shalom 20.00 15 28-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.