Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Atarah | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailaway | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Helen’s Revenge | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Banker | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looks First | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Air | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zuby | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patty’s Girl | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pinky Brier | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St. Brigid’s Cross | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caradise | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belloro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sabby Sunset | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dia Por Dia | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Glimmer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Central | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nittardi | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charmeuse | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia Mavis | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Donegal Surges | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Day | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bramito | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Gun Rocket | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emirates Road | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Certified Loverboy | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Escape Hall | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Richies Love | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winston D | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuscan Thunder | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Runner | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sociably Johnny | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Stones | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Adirondacker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Diliello | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Legend | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Curls | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abacus | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsted | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Never Say Uncle | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizlawry | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major Bourbon | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take a Stance | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mission Critical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mach Schnell | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pure Mischief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sight to See | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Impression | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Princess | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Another Cleeshay | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Dantz | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlit Weekend | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danneel | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stress Reliever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | She’s Complicated | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rodeo Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Charge Nurse | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearwater Beach | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace and Grit | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream On Cara | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Gal | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Graceful Rose | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lika Rolling Stone | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Orie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame It On K J | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nonno Joe | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romeo Void | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretrial Statement | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sammy C Note | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strobe Light | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klimt Master | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Powered by Coal | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Before the Wind | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.