Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Looks First 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Blame the Banker 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Helen’s Revenge 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Big Air 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sailaway 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Atarah 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 St. Brigid’s Cross 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pinky Brier 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Belloro 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Zuby 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Patty’s Girl 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Caradise 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Charmeuse 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Glimmer 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sabby Sunset 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stormy Central 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dia Por Dia 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Alyvia Mavis 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Nittardi 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bourbon Day 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Emirates Road 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Donegal Surges 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Certified Loverboy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bramito 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Top Gun Rocket 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Escape Hall 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Whiskey Runner 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Winston D 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 True Adirondacker 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Richies Love 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sociably Johnny 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tuscan Thunder 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Whiskey Stones 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Abacus 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 True Legend 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Thirsted 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Diliello 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Mission Critical 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mo Curls 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Take a Stance 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tizlawry 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Never Say Uncle 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Major Bourbon 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Mach Schnell 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Pure Mischief 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Moonlit Weekend 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brooklyn Dantz 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sassy Princess 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Stress Reliever 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Best Impression 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Danneel 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 She’s Complicated 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sight to See 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rodeo Star 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Another Cleeshay 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Capital Gal 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Charge Nurse 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Graceful Rose 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dream On Cara 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lika Rolling Stone 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Clearwater Beach 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cara’s Dreamweaver 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Grace and Grit 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sammy C Note 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Pretrial Statement 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Blame It On K J 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Klimt Master 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Orie 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Romeo Void 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Before the Wind 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nonno Joe 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Powered by Coal 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Strobe Light 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.