Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zippy Toga | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muncle | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana Luca | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Chulupa | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Due We Dare | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kee Jee | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor de Aces | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A True Target | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misterholyroller | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dee’s Legs | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lacey’s Kat | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stroller Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mor Jazz | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Bet | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Full | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Begforforgiveness | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Sassicaia | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset War | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campton | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Encore d’Oro | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C Fanta C | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Ruckus | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Educated Wish | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Q | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie Brookie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ida Lilly Girl | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Call My Banker | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polterer | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shortlist | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabro Toro | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Moves | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unfathomed | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Holdem | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sam’s Promise | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Won Day | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madelyn’s Hit | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Sunshine | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Galore | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Cattitude | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Line Ruler | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La. Grand Slam | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Close | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Ollie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Heist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hayes Strike | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Ami | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runnin Munnin | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up N Gone | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Painted Lad | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Composer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jumpin Judy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Lightning | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Love | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luyv | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Jet | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovelyredstilettos | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blushing Belle | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kalil | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Nina Dorada | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet Towinit | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C C Short Drive | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kindling Embers | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lola and Rose | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Magnificent | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Avenue | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Solidify | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Uncle Leon | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American City | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Chaos | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | C F Spunie Style | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keys Included | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bali Rolling Tide | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingscote | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Business Model | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. B Cause | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.