Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mamba Out | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Express | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honor His Half | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rumpus | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharper Gal | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby the Destroyer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Cost | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scooteria | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twofexusnexus | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Munnings Catsle | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oak Hill Lg | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Day | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bet On Bobby | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Certified Gem | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsan | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Kennedy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talksalot | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Your Life | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lily’s Creed | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Carmelina | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gorilla Trek | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skipper’s Pride | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mailman Money | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Justice Once | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Contemplation | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pico d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Now and Later | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heat Lightning | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawks Creek | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dick Best | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Maximo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Day | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penei | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Splurge | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titanium Man | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max S | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Gunner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Roar of Silence | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Desert Glow | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Miss Harmonic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosie’s Angus | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Gem | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rock Star Doctor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serene Kathleen | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Im Singled Up | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All About Me | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Blaze | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blueberry Eyes | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xcaret | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Irish Kitten | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Start Singing | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.) – Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Curlin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liteupthenite | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swampy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Sunshine | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allons Betta Lee | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wickedwithbourbon | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summers With Sonya | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On the Horizon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Strong | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nelson’s Penny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Al Muheerah | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acquazurra | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stress Test | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Spring in Paris | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Blue Line (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spare Me | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bugs Malone | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Lady Blast | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Sweeter | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mothertwotheblues | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fregata | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Map | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Raging Current | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Stellar Knickie | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mister Banderas | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Free Scrim | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shot Gun Shack | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Band | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Brandon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rescue Squad | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remi | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Moviestar | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romeo Spikes | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Such a Pickle | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Is Chief | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Time | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Jayne’s Rockstar | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bob’s Channel | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior Rouxgaroux | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.