Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Icy River | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Dawn | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Aflutter | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Connection | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okie Bling | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paula M | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pass Line | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Pack | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Lore | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lea Me Be | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cawkab | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wartime Hero | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brock On By | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Iuka Miss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Janes Girls | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Angel | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Mia | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Given | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summertimee | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Protocol | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gloryibee | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtinbymoonlight | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maddienlizzyshonor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Clancy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugarfreesugarbaby | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bee’s Moonshine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hard Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Loco Luna | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go West | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pinky Ring Bling | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slew Skies | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Last Moxy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mega Shack | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Weird Year | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vicente’s Shadow | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Affectionto Autism | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Wife Is Right | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Passed Promise | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Photoshopped | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buck Pie | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Hot Shot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Down Periscope | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Flatter | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Tap Out | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Falcon Quest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stonington | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rickie Roooo Ster | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banchero | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Eleven | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hopkinsville | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bishop Creek | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockets Blaze | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expensive Game | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Constitutionreview | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Tom | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Swiftwind | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bette Davis | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promisemeanempire | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kerry’s Kiss | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mysidehustle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Jordan | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Lucky Again | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arsonist | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secured | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Checker’s Song | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pondicherry | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Safe | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mystical Code | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Spite of It | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lottery Ticket | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bridgie Bop | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hakuhia | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katies Spirit | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Presleys Turn | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Say as I Say | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Find the Light | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Anna Up | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Caleb’s Candy | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.