Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Perfect | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Almasty | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gus’s Drumbeet | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Connection | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pref | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You and Me Baby | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allbetsareoff | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mamba On Three | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wet and Wild | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Crusader | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highland Society | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harper City | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April de Velp | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Border Town | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cadfael | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dissectologist | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Drive | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Tourist | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mehlek | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Meseeks | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Fortune | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guildsman (FR) | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | If You Insist | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast and Ready | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kiddie Holiday | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet N Win | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | English Actor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Again | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lac Macaza | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No More Options | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Determinedly | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skyro | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Possiblemente | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Westside Tide | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dai Vernon | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legal Catch | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Ashbridges Bay S.) – Ashbridges Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ella It Is | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brengungirl | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hint | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Pierre | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aussie Hyper | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Juicy Hanna | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Posey | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Moment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Lake Ontario S.) – Lake Ontario S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Screen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sedburys Ghost | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kekoa | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dewolf | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ciunas | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stratus | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shinigami | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mymathes Correct | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Moment | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Walter Me Lad | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warlord Cruzan | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Alacran | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jamiesta | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ask in My Name | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonks | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master Spy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chairman Bob | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Break the Spell | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bachelor Pad | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quiet Intent | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Designated Hitter | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Iona | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Magnificent | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vazhi | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Z Train (IRE) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remarkably Human | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Serenity | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Celebrity Ro | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ratings Upgrade (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Appeal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Serenading Kitten | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Promising | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neenah | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mikelle | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determined First | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Anastasia | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nantuckets Day | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Cruiser | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Jade | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pierre | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phillip My Wine | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Label | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thornbury | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jaggersgotagun | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Countryboysurvive | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motion Granted | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mohaymen Diamond | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy Has Diamonds | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Song | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princessonamission | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Might Bee Trouble | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unheard | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wildfire | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Name | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zippy Gamble | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | World Showcase | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Tenacious | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.