Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 22, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Drip d’Oro 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Daryl’s Bolt 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lil Bro Coop 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Ten Days Later 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Hexcel 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Regatta Bay 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Moonovermontgomery 12.00 8 15-1
4 4 Wayllen Richard 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Thrill Seeker 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fade to Gold 3.50 1.3 2-1
13 13 Whtruwearingrlfrnd 4.00 1.6 3-1
14 14 Bright Note 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 What’s Love 4.00 1.6 3-1
15 15 Braken Poppa 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Missin Missy 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ci Ci Forever 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Restless Mind 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Miss Shane 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Custom Value 20.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Sweet Aurora G 20.00 10.4 20-1
16 16 Lil Bit Forgotten 20.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Nova Nova Nova 20.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Simple Spice 20.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Dewey’s Soldier 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Liam’s Lagoon 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Got Stripes 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Edgerton 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Pencil Bluff 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Just Bernie 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Porkyismyname 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Not Behavin 12.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Tequila n’ Salt 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Bonafide 15.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Unaffiliated 20.00 13 25-1
9 9 Full Command 20.00 13 25-1
12 12 Zun Reyder 20.00 13 25-1
6 6 Film At Eleven 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.) – Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Secret Faith 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Blue Fire 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Sassi Strutter 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Six String 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Fast Flame 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Beleout 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Country Belle 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boss of All Bosses 4.00 1 2-1
16 16 Sunday Breeze 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Flash N Class 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Wish Carefully 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Southscape 6.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Single Shot 10.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Doolgaroux 10.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Jackson D 10.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Tensas Camp Road 10.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 A Passive Nobody 10.00 6.6 13-1
15 15 Turf Monster 10.00 6.6 13-1
14 14 Mardi Gras Empire 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Mysterious Spirit 12.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Emily’s Boy 12.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Island Cabana 12.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Magnolia West 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Arabia Wild 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Raaq Tansani 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Black Hornet 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Special Ops 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Liberty’s Champion 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 El Capo 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 High Go 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Awesome Magic 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Andrew Ney Memorial S.) – Andrew Ney Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Geaux Sugar 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 El Dinero 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Not On Herb 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Smash It 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Strong Promise 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Dapper Moon 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Tdzshininluckystar 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Late September 15.00 9 17-1
5 5 Macho Beanie 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Ballinonabudjet 3.50 1 2-1
15 15 Pacificislandtime 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Calicoco 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Pegaso 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Titanium Deal 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Fran’s Star 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 House Bourbon 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Cypress Gold 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Wayside Drive 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Comanche Warrior 12.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Wicked Secret 12.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Sonya Knows Better 12.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Gem Buoy 12.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Hawija 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Coffee County 20.00 16 30-1
6 6 Our Majestic 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.) – Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Allnight Moonlight 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sippin On Gin 4.50 1.6 3-1
11 11 Hay Jude 5.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 He’s Late Again 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Highland Creek 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Cosmic Train 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Good and Stout 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Letmikefigureitout 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Behemah Star 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Tambourine Star 20.00 11 21-1
1 1 Tdzshininluckystar 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.