Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 22, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ten Days Later 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lil Bro Coop 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hexcel 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Daryl’s Bolt 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Regatta Bay 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Moonovermontgomery 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Drip d’Oro 1.20 SCRATCH
4 4 Wayllen Richard 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 What’s Love 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fade to Gold 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sweet Aurora G 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Simple Spice 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Missin Missy 6.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Thrill Seeker 3.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Ci Ci Forever 10.00 8 15-1
9 9 Restless Mind 10.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Miss Shane 12.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Nova Nova Nova 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Custom Value 20.00 9 17-1
5 5 Dewey’s Soldier 30.00 9 17-1
13 13 Whtruwearingrlfrnd 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Lil Bit Forgotten 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bright Note 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Braken Poppa 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Liam’s Lagoon 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Edgerton 4.50 1.9 4-1
11 11 Got Stripes 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Porkyismyname 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Just Bernie 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Unaffiliated 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Not Behavin 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bonafide 15.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Zun Reyder 20.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Full Command 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Pencil Bluff 8.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Tequila n’ Salt 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Film At Eleven 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.) – Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Fire 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Secret Faith 1.20 1.5 3-1
5 5 Six String 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Beleout 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Fast Flame 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Country Belle 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sassi Strutter 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Wish Carefully 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flash N Class 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Boss of All Bosses 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Southscape 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Jackson D 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 A Passive Nobody 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Tensas Camp Road 10.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Island Cabana 12.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Emily’s Boy 12.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Single Shot 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Doolgaroux 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Magnolia West 20.00 7.4 14-1
16 16 Sunday Breeze 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mysterious Spirit 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Turf Monster 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mardi Gras Empire 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 El Capo 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Arabia Wild 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 High Go 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Black Hornet 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Awesome Magic 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Special Ops 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Liberty’s Champion 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Raaq Tansani 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Andrew Ney Memorial S.) – Andrew Ney Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Geaux Sugar 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Not On Herb 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 El Dinero 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Smash It 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Late September 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Strong Promise 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Macho Beanie 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dapper Moon 10.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Tdzshininluckystar 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calicoco 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 House Bourbon 8.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Wayside Drive 10.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Comanche Warrior 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Pegaso 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Wicked Secret 12.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Sonya Knows Better 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Titanium Deal 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Fran’s Star 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Cypress Gold 8.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Hawija 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Coffee County 20.00 7.4 14-1
16 16 Ballinonabudjet 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Pacificislandtime 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Our Majestic 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gem Buoy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.) – Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Highland Creek 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sippin On Gin 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Letmikefigureitout 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Good and Stout 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Allnight Moonlight 3.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Cosmic Train 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 He’s Late Again 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tdzshininluckystar 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Hay Jude 5.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Behemah Star 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Tambourine Star 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.