Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cap’n Dusty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15A | 15 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Owhatanite | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14A | 14 | Latin Rebel | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Vibes | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Garden Leave | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regalo Perfetto | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Go Take Charge | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rector | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bookitwithhaddad | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toolpusher | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Factor | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mortal Sin | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Maybe It’s Time | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imagine It All | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rerun Table | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tacit Value | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlene’s Spirit | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Gift | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nemain | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hotmessness | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | God I Need a Favor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pichu | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Import | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Longhi | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power Grid | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bala de Plata | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Warrior | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Sand | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Madam | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G Q Worthy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Pegster | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Endless Vow | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Jeans | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rehoboth Avenue | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luminous Secret | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Skittliedat | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boys Go to Jupiter | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Richie’s Valentine | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fahnee | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Tune | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Seven’s Magic | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Osa | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Native Mischief | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neon City | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mischief Motion | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon N Lace | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Indy Charges On | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuff Luck | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapizar’s Temper | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Straight to Water | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Stott | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Jaunt | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bigtonten | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawkstone | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amazing Bernie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Cougar Cocktail | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ithinkiloveyou | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waittilmidnitehour | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Crusader Rabbit | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J Z’s Last Schance | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big Earn | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rina Is Fire | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Greek Heiress | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frappart | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Peony | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Phlying Phyllis | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maidstone | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Serene Spirit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chantico | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Wherever We Are | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Granuaile | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Arrow Speed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mosler Time | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunter Joe | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Murray | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Wait Up | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Master | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fan Club | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tops the Chart | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gluckstadt | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Electric Eel | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Take a Hint | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mister Lincoln | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swill | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Normandy Hero | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boltage | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fore Harp | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hold Out | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billionaires Row | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heard On Thestreet | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Launch Control | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Smooth B | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pealing Lad | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fun Notion | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Humor | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Catahoula Moon | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Great | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paid Vacation | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Ham Sandwich | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Ticket | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Hard Swing | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turf to Dirt | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Lover Boy Ness | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tactics | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lino’s Fire | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.