Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Uecker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Filkins | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eye of the Smiley | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carl Erskine | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Max Factor | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manx Missile | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sirnami | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Debbies Gettinghot | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Motta Avenue | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saint Mihiel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empress of Grace | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strange Addiction | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polythene Pam | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petite Treat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shangrilama (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyprus Moon | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katerini | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willow Cove | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eltonsingsanother | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Needlepoint (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Real Jewel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheeky Gal | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Jet Go | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Emirates Affair | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Ball | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discrepancy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Sway | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auditory | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Willa T | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Other Like You | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Upcharge | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | How Lovely (IRE) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O K Rose | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crossanna | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Meagher (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | How About Pavel | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Monclaire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Venus | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theresasilverlinin | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Scholar | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Act of Serendipity | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violet Storm | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misty Dancer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrazek’s Old Dream | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thebestisyettobe (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starts Now | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Appeal (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Joker | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sakura Blossom | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Hidden Port (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resolve | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Delta Dawn | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shy Ann | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Captain Sparrow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawker | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Figure | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Flyer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Treasure | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Talkin | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ambaya | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defiance | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eternal Reign (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Candy Bar | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Runamileinmyshoes | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Take Another Card | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Mizen Queen (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s a Joker | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Artois | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tequilaandtherapy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Madonna of Loreto | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Source (GB) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motet | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Cantu | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.