Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Wine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lulu’s Magic | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Country | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talkabout | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ostrica | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adiamondinthestorm | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Taurean | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Spark | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Squall | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caughtupndamoment | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roadside Banker | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jayjayjay | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Voyager | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tonka Trouble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pakula | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Sensation | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Cold At Home | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Instamatical | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie Gamer | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Call | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Bambi Run | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clearsugar | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starsnmotion | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grace Hazel | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Star | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Deroutante | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Visionista | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awree | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jus Evelyn | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Becky’sgottahaveit | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Congratulera | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t No Disco | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Sniper | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Concentration | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steely Eye | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Vision | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Byword | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catchin Drama | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unlikely Queen | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Blast | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Party | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Town Tempter | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stress Test | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Auntie Vodka | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mya Papaya | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charging Ovatime | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twinklee | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spring in Paris | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birkin Elegance | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Hello | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lexico | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belle of Liberty | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gwen to Win | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lit Up | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pashmina | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plantain | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Town | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archimedes | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chicanery | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soulman | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ogilvy (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mischief | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Munnings | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Look No Mo | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pargo | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tdzmystreaminhint | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Skip | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proven Hope | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Cat | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impeccability | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slava Ukraini | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Regimental | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Road | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All West | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Overanalytical | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Carthage Cajun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.