Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joe Class | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donut Dust | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Triathelon | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tug | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Lily | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paynted Lion | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plenty On Tap | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mickeymac | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Andies Pistolero | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Runaway Rooster | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Brew | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pass the Judge | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Q Got Hops | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Go Lang | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lover Boy Ness | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Got Game | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Goddess Factor | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Wise and Elegant | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Synergism | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heybackatcha | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Cozy Thing | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ade | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fabia | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Feelin So Lucky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Lord’s Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flatter My Dad | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skillian | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Prince | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | This Is the Life | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Profound Change | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Hall | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Top Manipulator | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caseofthemondays | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cluck Cluck | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheilahs Warcloud | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stop Watch | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spencerian | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navani | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Blome | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backstretch Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Major Houlihan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maximo Madness | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bossy Boots | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Chublin | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lachicafortequila | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor the Truth | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Missy Boss | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Ghee for the Win | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Close Up | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cynthia Gail | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wikolia Lady | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Professor Grace | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Serious Lady | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Julia’s a Fox | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Nobody’s Girl | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ladsfirstlove | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Brew | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A Week With Grammy | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | God Willing | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Autumn in Vermont | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Daytime Drama | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Teddy’s Lucky Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Poor Mans Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Feel the Bolt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spring Decision | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kerness K | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Virtuosity | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dewy’s Beast | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crab Daddy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Firmantown | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tethered Soul | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Built by Khozan | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Medagooch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Saxton | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Radical Right | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | S S Sinatra | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Northern Flame | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Karan’s Notion | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arden’sluckytobe | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Cents | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Rominski | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Take a Hint | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sunny Breeze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Impressiveness | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Palacios | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vida | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Finny | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Economic Headwinds | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pencil Me In | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Schemer | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Our Notion | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Transquaking | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.