Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s Got Swagger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nimmo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fluff the Pillow | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get Like Mike | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River’s Gamble | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Reunion | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Agarramesipuedes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gametime Gladiator | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Fleet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | B D Saints | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vino Gray | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Filled With Desire | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Notion | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chubasco Sauce | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supernova Dream | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mybandit | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | We Miss Neil | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wyatt Hunter | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Davola | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hoppy Time | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stillwater Moon | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taporical | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Power Agenda | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backtrack | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Saint | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Brown Shoes | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome for Sure | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Superfly | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Kid Syd | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Private Cabana | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Lucas | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crack the Code | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aves Makin’ Waves | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coach Clint | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Borracho | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tatum | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jebologist | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enforcer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sophia’s Prince | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Genius | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Getaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Curlins Cruzin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ambitiously Placed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldieness | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Popover Gal | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moor Strength | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Date Night Kisses | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Karen’s Honor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Temper | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battling Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Phone Eats First | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Connor’s Crew | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top of D Agenda | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capitaine | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onceinawhile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Frankie Coffeecake | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | N. Y. Finest | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold in My Hands | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreetismydaddy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aoife’s Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mila Rose | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centre Court Champ | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dewey Doit | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Ransom | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maximus Angelicus | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carousel Queen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bedtime Story | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Wiggy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Popthechampagne Ro | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Swell | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bucks Some | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Belle | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matoula | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Fran | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onthisharvestmoon | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gia’s Fuego | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creme Caramel | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.