Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | West Code Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizabellarina | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucked Out | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let’sgojlo | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Queen | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Blossom | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Delight | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Ruby | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Velvet Rose | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twentyone N Change | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Euromantic | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whip | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Touchdown Oklahoma | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buckin Again | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mega Shack | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ammenthedestroyer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sword of Gold | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baja Boogie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oh My Darling | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ooh Baby It’s Me | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dig Baby Dig | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Knicks Now | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speaking of Art | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of the Den | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Pick | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Light | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bron and Brow | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J. P. Race | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Under Oath | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Left | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Guard | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Mischief | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Leader | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victorious Vanda | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Powerwashed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crafty Aunt | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kara | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spin the Breeze | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Left Her Behind | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maybe So | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Crater | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bridgie Bop | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | La Camelia | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Darla | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honeycrisp | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foolish Affair | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Stoops | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Washita Valley | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | While I | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ship the Money | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guapo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bijou Bear | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boozeintheblender | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Pass Posse | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Waylon’s Guitar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Take Me Serious | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinzie Queen | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Compendium | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Optimistic Cowgirl | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bang Bang Fury | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Cat | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Angel | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long May She Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Magic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Cowboy | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizabling | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frack Baby | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboycents | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Okie Clipper | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galactic Core | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coalcowboy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kunan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | My Good Good Boy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cash Follows Me | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Hot Rod | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Doc | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Wife Is Right | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slew Skies | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Send Off | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vicente’s Shadow | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Limbo’s Promise | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noise Complaint | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Derby Date | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lea Me Be | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | The Last Moxy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.