Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hopeshecanrun | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cajun Cattitude | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wickedly Royal | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Payton’s Indian | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Well Accustomed | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fiji’s Deal | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Welcometomyholiday | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly’s Guitar | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Welcometohazeville | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Jet | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Basile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | City Park | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Picasso Baby | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ells | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Together | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Verdict | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muffin Nuts | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Bonz | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Mischief | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infinitesimal | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gobot | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thats Unbelievable | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Surge | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Acadiana | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinsley Grace | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guillotine | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cupie Cutie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rememberin Ronald | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timeformargaritas | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Call Me Dolly | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Rain | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Onedayatatime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gabe’s Possum | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ocean Jackpot | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Running Ragged | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sophie’s Painter | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Boy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Sassicaia | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deal Em Justice | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pennys Deal | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storm Strategy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asaasy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quaternion | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hwy Twenty Ride | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Primo Canary | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native Requite | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Butchy Boy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cowboy Cause | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crue’s N Control | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Trip | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Deftly Done | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Chulupa | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Moves | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Uncle Leon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gucci Boy | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solidify | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Moment | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northernreflection | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timehascome | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ghost Cowboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Incredible Shot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Numero Siete | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lambo | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hegs | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Rojo Vivo | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Drinker | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Interlude | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Valhalla Viking | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runner Runner | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fierce Cat | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Might Be Me | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatdidwedo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Houstons Eagle | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Swamp Pop | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quikonthetrigger | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansauce | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hillbilly’s Heart | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.