Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Under Contract | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitole’s Limit | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Boss | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | When Smokey Sings | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fine Tuned | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Crew | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Rap | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angel’s Legacy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He Is Heaven Sent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Affair | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Templar Red | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midshipman’s Lady | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Prairie Gal | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Lady | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin Lucky Again | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mola Mia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go Purple | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Mitole | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash Master | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devious Diva | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ngala | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veronica’s Delight | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Warhammer | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Up the Pace | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Journey | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chi Town Road | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War for Gold | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gospel Freely | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Big Muckity | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inca Empire | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Mountain | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Okie Smoke | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Sacrifice | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bobwhite Bobby | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Light the Code | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’s Something | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storms Last | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Sunrise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brock On By | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ethical Judgement | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Epic Battle | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pass Line | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quarterly Report | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gianno | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit One Out | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Plain Ornery | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ann’s Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Class Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bachelor Party | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Protocol | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deadly Beauty | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bling’s Artwork | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Wilhelmina | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Melly’s Birkin | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dottie C | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | From the Top Rope | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outtaherway | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easter Gift | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Miss Brisket | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samantha Code | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Den’s Dazzler | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misses Millie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Ta | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Becky Is Sexy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Chick | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh Juliet | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Braxton’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Intentional M | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Avie Rae | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Witt’s Gone West | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sleepy Music | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hello Chikitita | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.