Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Autumn’s Turn | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cara’s Chianti | 1.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paraiba Blue | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Katerina Ristova | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizallmine | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Daughters’ Gift | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Hat Willie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trust Issues | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Hour | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Metalhead | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost in Rome | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Barksdale | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fourth and One | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizlawry | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Max Money | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snickery | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Riddle | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty One Red | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ministerial | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bob John Ray | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Got This | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Bomber | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Bet | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eric From Miami | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Trumpet | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rose Lisa | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luciana’s Honor | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Banco Di Sicilia | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Berbice Honey | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Legs | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wayward Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pencima | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Airborne Elite | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Panagiotis | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Uncle | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capt Jax Parrow | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ace It | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dads Good Runner | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sin Nombre | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collect From Ike | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Systemic Change | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Seeker | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Me Not | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Refuah | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sagamore Mischief | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brew Pub | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skylander | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twohonestmischief | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poppy’s Ticket | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaz Oil Changer | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Probability | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Askingforafriend | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klimt Master | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nothingbutnitro | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.