Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Map Needed 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Say I Do Sadie 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Malibu Smart 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Romany Road 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 La Reynita 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Linda Faye 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Maylen 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 McKinzie Magic 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ballybay Beauty 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hay Evabody 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Cloud Number Nine 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sister Lily 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sunshine Daydream 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Taylors Enticed 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Sweet Lexus 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Half Brother 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Liar’s Poker 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Golden Bandit 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Hard to Fathom 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Now and Later 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Tahoe Run 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Leading the Charge 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Summer in Adriane 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Go Get Trae 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Surfin Bayou 1.40 5 10-1
2 2 Cajun Dance 1.80 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lil Henry 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Dayofthewarrior 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Spiritual Duty 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Hadda Have It 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I’m Wide Awake 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Vesture 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Carpis 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 One True Gentleman 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Sassi D 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Play the Trumpet 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Bosun 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hit That Review (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wherethehitsare 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Von Erich 3.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Gary P 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Lil Central 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Joey D 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Saboteur 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 My Boy J 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Antiphon 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kenmore West 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Autodrive 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Loudermilk 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 I Am Lowkey 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Premium 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 This Time 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mega Magic 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pharoah’s Dynasty 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Unbeatable 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Halo Music 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Election Night 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 French Knight 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Chasing Gray 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 A Cab On the Rocks 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kazoom 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ur Honey 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Athletic Like 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Simple Spice 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Voodoo Lady 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Mischief Ambition 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 El Star 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dewey’s Soldier 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Custom Value 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Love Getaway 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ve Nina 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.