Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Zeus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Addiction | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thousandsticks | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fortuny | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Wanna Be Me | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shadidelbas | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Ladies | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harry O | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Versailles Road | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Quest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Advance | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guildenstern (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Citizen K | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Preach | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle of Dover | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Stars | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Downing Street | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Selecto | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sultan the Great | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | What It Tiz | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expert Witness | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | UFO (PER) | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reproche | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lao Way | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonfiglio | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Vaggio | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haute Diva | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bert’s Knoty Girl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getting Serious | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Y’allreadyforthis | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flowko | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Covered in Crystal | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dakota’s Lil Auror | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J Squared | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peacethrustrength | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Il Alchemysta | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Cruiser | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sponge Time | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cryptonym | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captcha | 1.60 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orb Alpha | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s My Lady Luck | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Poppy | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stamp of Approval | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Dreams | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gridlock | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Puckered | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Walley World | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Global Prosperity | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runner Eyes | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Junction Road | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruse | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patrick’s Promise | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fair Haired Boy | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tee At One | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lights of Broadway | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of Honor | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Barrel City | 1.80 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sam Stormy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ironsides | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flat to Da Mat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dumb Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bay of Bengal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Longbranch Lou | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Light Fury | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Cross | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle John | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ticking | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Parfait | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carentan | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (H. Allen Jerkens H.) – H. Allen Jerkens H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Risk Manager | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Cause | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Know I Know | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belouni (FR) | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Padiddle | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coiled | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dontsplashthepot | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruddy Buddy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cabourg | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Victory | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Newtons Laws | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Boy Stan | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Move Jesse Move | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bull by the Horns | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Epic Summer | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Yamal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fly Erik Fly | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seawise | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Street | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Muheet | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Authentic Honour | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Animated | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Power | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capt’n Pike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shace Sloane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.