Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Centsamilla | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ariel Moon | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polecat | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devilish One | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Christy My Love | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven’s Magic | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet and Feisty | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A P M Notion | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Genieinabridle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Ransom | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Recognize Me | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ribbonsinherhair | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Charm | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isabella’s Glory | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ready for Magic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Honey Bee | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kissed At Dawn | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tierra Santa | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Summer Love | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wampy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Map to the Moon | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bounty Killah | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mister Lincoln | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turbulent Force | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Wait Up | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talklessworkmore | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Note | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bob Marco | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz No Clown | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Got Game | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anotherhope | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ade | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Feelin So Lucky | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Bear | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fitness | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaches and Pearls | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | T C Neigh | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Why Not Grace | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Simply Stated | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Seaport | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Howler | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delray | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Flicker | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kilo Road | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Like Sara | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dwelling Legacy | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shkhara Fire | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Law School | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Fulton Gal | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Madam | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | God I Need a Favor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Stuff | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Astrid | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honor Our Country | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch Me Sparkle | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disney Belle | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bay West | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoulda Known | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iamdependingonyou | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judy G | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.