Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kay Cup 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Embraceable Gal 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 City Blocks 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lika Rolling Stone 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ariana Rye 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Game for It 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Just Tipsy 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Waitin’onasunnyday 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Slay Sadie Slay 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Tinseltown 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sixer 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 First Blessing 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tammy’s Cruiser 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Timia 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Casilda 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Auroralinna 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Cloudy Chance 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mia Nipotina 8.00 8 15-1
5 5 Laughing Lady 8.00 8 15-1
7 7 Ragtime Sizzle 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Celestial Glaze 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Golden Symphony 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Exploration 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Disarmed 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Rithm Nic 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Shattuck 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Kaz Sugar Bank 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Island Charlie 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fric and Frac 3.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Hello Newman 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Nordic Fyre 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Army Proud 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Until Last Call 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Monte Avi 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dr. Merciless 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 Strobe Light 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bold Victory 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bar Fourteen 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 More Vino 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Six Kings 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Because the Night 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Tiberius Mercurius 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Whiskey Frens 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Commandperformance 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yo Banana Boy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 What’s Up Bro 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Tall Paul 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Factually Correct 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Master Freud 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Braciole 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Clancy Fancy 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shoot the Nickel 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wajda 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Leading Role 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Cousin Ed 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Doomed 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Senor Pickles 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Dialbolico 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Come Full Circle 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Zakat 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Cool Hand Rich 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Majestic Arc 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.