Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kay Cup 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Ariana Rye 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 City Blocks 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lika Rolling Stone 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Embraceable Gal 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Waitin’onasunnyday 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 First Blessing 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Just Tipsy 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Game for It 2.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sixer 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Tinseltown 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Slay Sadie Slay 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Casilda 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ragtime Sizzle 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tammy’s Cruiser 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Auroralinna 6.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Cloudy Chance 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Timia 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mia Nipotina 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Laughing Lady 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Exploration 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rithm Nic 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Golden Symphony 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Kaz Sugar Bank 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Disarmed 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Celestial Glaze 2.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Shattuck 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Island Charlie 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Army Proud 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Monte Avi 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Hello Newman 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Fric and Frac 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Until Last Call 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Strobe Light 30.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Dr. Merciless 30.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Nordic Fyre 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bold Victory 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tiberius Mercurius 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Six Kings 5.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Whiskey Frens 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bar Fourteen 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Commandperformance 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Because the Night 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 More Vino 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yo Banana Boy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 What’s Up Bro 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Factually Correct 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Tall Paul 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Braciole 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Clancy Fancy 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Master Freud 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cousin Ed 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Senor Pickles 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Leading Role 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Doomed 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Shoot the Nickel 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Wajda 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Zakat 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Come Full Circle 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Cool Hand Rich 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Majestic Arc 30.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Dialbolico 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.