Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kay Cup | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Embraceable Gal | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Blocks | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lika Rolling Stone | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ariana Rye | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bam’s Bliss Kiss | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Game for It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Tipsy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waitin’onasunnyday | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slay Sadie Slay | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tinseltown | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sixer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Blessing | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timia | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Casilda | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auroralinna | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Chance | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Nipotina | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laughing Lady | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime Sizzle | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Glaze | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Symphony | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exploration | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disarmed | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rithm Nic | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shattuck | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Island Charlie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fric and Frac | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hello Newman | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nordic Fyre | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army Proud | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Until Last Call | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monte Avi | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Merciless | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strobe Light | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bold Victory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Fourteen | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Vino | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Kings | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Because the Night | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiberius Mercurius | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Frens | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commandperformance | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yo Banana Boy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What’s Up Bro | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Paul | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Factually Correct | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master Freud | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Braciole | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clancy Fancy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shoot the Nickel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wajda | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leading Role | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Ed | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doomed | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senor Pickles | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dialbolico | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Come Full Circle | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zakat | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Hand Rich | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Arc | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
