Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boy Charlie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hes the Bomb Too | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Chulupa | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quik Punch | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Black Cloud | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gabbys Bling | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rexinator | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dee’s Legs | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stray Cat Strut | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Night Train | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Sopo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Throwin’ Shade | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freddie by a Nose | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game and Gormley | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Prospect | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Star | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stiff Drink | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Ready | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Deal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Iron Fortune | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Bodie | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lee’s Wicked One | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yakety Yock | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Righthoofleftright | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beach Trippin | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Streak | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stanley Little Boy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nelle Tue Mani | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome William | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Country | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Liam | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Copter | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truvy’s Bandit | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alterana | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | India Ink | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saturday’s Gold | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lode of Blarney | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Stage | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Kid | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Song | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Pride | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | C F Spunie Style | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Idol | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yankeestrolgy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Carlos | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Talkin Slick | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seehoss | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Hope | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dewclaw | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chad’s Flash | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deacon Jones | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Express | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Mulitch | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | U Rascal U | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Digits | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Staniel Cay | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Screen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eligio | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Squall | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Golden Glider | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tdzshininluckystar | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Next Level | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Heist | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brite Outlook | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Cheese | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr McGregor | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballinonabudjet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ellie Moore (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl From de Bayou | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Campout | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Jane | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Good by Faith | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Her Away | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Wicked Number | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Melody | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Embrasser | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Special Feature | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gold Miracle | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | This Gray Mischiev | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.