Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Heart | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malu | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Points Is Points | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maggie Go (ARG) | 1.40 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proud Foot | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Problematica | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defended | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Florida Flower | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Looks First | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie the Joker | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Return | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vettriano | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Way | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Locke and Key | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toxic Gray | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Golden Gorilla | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Bianco | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Fern | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Curls | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Me a Dime | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Roscoe | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Hustle | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moneybags Milton | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reign It In | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Golden Miracle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Open Soul Autism | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Lady | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Play Good Pay Good | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maggie T | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Book of Wisdom | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dream On Cara | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Girl | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Troubled Luck | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Shoe Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | House United | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey N Soda | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hamilton’s Way | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Bordeaux | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fever Night | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blown Cover | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Complex Agenda | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s the King | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adventurist | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gaming Wizard | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wamo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pantherian | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Roll | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lawyer Mason | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Player | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cristobal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Interceptor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reynolds Channel | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fully Booked | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fiscal Drag | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ican | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Middle Market | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Music | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kavanaugh | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turn and Count | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.