Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maggie Go (ARG) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Points Is Points | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Heart | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malu | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Girl | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proud Foot | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Problematica | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Return | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie the Joker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defended | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Looks First | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Florida Flower | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vettriano | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Way | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toxic Gray | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Locke and Key | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Bianco | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Golden Gorilla | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Curls | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fern | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reign It In | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Me a Dime | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Roscoe | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Hustle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Miracle | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moneybags Milton | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dream On Cara | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play Good Pay Good | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maggie T | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Shoe Lady | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Open Soul Autism | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Book of Wisdom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Girl | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Troubled Luck | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | House United | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hamilton’s Way | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey N Soda | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Bordeaux | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adventurist | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s the King | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blown Cover | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Complex Agenda | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fever Night | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pantherian | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gaming Wizard | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wamo | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Player | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Roll | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lawyer Mason | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cristobal | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Interceptor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reynolds Channel | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ican | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fully Booked | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kavanaugh | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turn and Count | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Music | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Middle Market | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fiscal Drag | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.