Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Indy Charge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drobny | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Redesdale | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | After the Game | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re On Mute | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Last Second Louie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Ramirez | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chief Kimosabi | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Don’t Venmo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rite On Sam | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Going the Distance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Ghost | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fouralivia | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Debbies Passage | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give Em Hail Gayle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sis Boom Bob | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Temple | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Be Gone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avie Cakes | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Deal | 1.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Target | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ancho | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Onedayatatime | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Santa Maria | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Lady Bulls Eye | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emani Rose | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frisee | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alessande | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lundigrasmambo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Chaos | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of the Nile | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Home Visit | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polterer | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Path to Success | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keys Included | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foxtrot Harry | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cowan | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Life Is a Banquet | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ranch Water | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play Mo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | French Composer | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Rick | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Peter’s Bay | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harry’s Onthefly | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strong Eagle | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wood River | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Iron in the Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Target | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal d’Oro | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beulah K | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Z | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cece Wave | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovers Never Say | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lacis Jewel | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star of Astrology | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raise the Alarm | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Radiant Rebel | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deal With It | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runtolive | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basile | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crawfish Burl | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Makeithappen | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Garnet Jubilee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | North of Bali | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Auto Dial | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stable Agent | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Saints | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Call | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ru Mor Starter | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unshakeable Proof | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plutonium | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Astro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flame Rock Fire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Guns | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.