Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | You’re On Mute | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drobny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Redesdale | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indy Charge | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | After the Game | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Second Louie | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chief Kimosabi | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Don’t Venmo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rite On Sam | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Ramirez | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Debbies Passage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fouralivia | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going the Distance | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Ghost | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give Em Hail Gayle | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sis Boom Bob | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Temple | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Be Gone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Deal | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Target | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onedayatatime | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Lady Bulls Eye | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lundigrasmambo | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Santa Maria | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alessande | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frisee | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avie Cakes | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emani Rose | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ancho | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Polterer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Chaos | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Path to Success | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foxtrot Harry | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Home Visit | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of the Nile | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keys Included | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cowan | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Composer | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life Is a Banquet | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ranch Water | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Peter’s Bay | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play Mo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harry’s Onthefly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Iron in the Fire | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Strong Eagle | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Rick | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wood River | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Target | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beulah K | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal d’Oro | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Z | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cece Wave | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lacis Jewel | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovers Never Say | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deal With It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Radiant Rebel | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basile | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runtolive | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raise the Alarm | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crawfish Burl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Makeithappen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star of Astrology | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guns | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garnet Jubilee | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Auto Dial | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flame Rock Fire | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | North of Bali | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unshakeable Proof | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ru Mor Starter | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Call | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Astro | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Saints | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plutonium | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stable Agent | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.