Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Musical Band 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Victory Prince 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Cajun Moviestar 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Metairie 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Global Honor 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Rescue Squad 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Temple of Peace 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Who Is Chief 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Bob’s Channel 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Lightning Twirl 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Reach for the Aces 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dan d’Oro 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dixie Doctor 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Muncle 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 No Rematch 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Spoken Code 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Peyton’s Day 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Wayllen Richard 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Oliverio 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Colt’s Brim 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Crigler 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Gordito Hermoso 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Malaki Empire 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Shawn’s Solving 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Harpes Hill 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Gatsby’s Fortune 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Boitano 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Big Scully 3.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Ben Dreaming 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Red Road 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Fortuity 6.00 4 8-1
16 16 Mailman Money 6.00 4 8-1
13 13 Z Z’s Prince 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 People Force 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Courageously 12.00 9.1 17-1
15 15 Mysterious Spirit 12.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Clarestown 15.00 11.7 22-1
10 10 He Gots to Go 15.00 11.7 22-1
4 4 Super Wise 20.00 16 30-1
5 5 Little Rocky 20.00 16 30-1
14 14 Temple City Run 20.00 16 30-1
2 2 Prowling Tiger 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 That’s Apriority 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Romeo Spikes 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Louisiana Star 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Classical Knight 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Custom Ride 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Closing Agent 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Warrior Rouxgaroux 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Storm Miami (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Don’t Say It 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Rue Lala 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Biscuitwiththeboss 5.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Amalfi Drive 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Moon Mist 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Classic Performer 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Cairo Dream 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Beautiful Mischief 12.00 11 21-1
7 7 Aldora 12.00 11 21-1
1 1 Black Ginger 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sunday Breeze 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Le Monstre Rapide 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Gem Buoy 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 American Dollars 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hard Line 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Our Majestic 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Daddy’s Code 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ocala Gala 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Real Drama 5.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 War Belle 6.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Supreme Moon (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Al Latafah 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Lewinsky 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Veto Proof 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Chat Room 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 High Street Pizzaz 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 My Blue Line (GB) 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Pleasing 20.00 12 23-1
1 1 Click 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Premium 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Letshaveonemore 4.50 2 4-1
10 10 Oncoming Train 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Flipping Fish 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Supremely 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Arthur 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Glenn’s Jumper 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Sanpirodu 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 B W P Spirit 20.00 10 19-1
5 5 The Speedy One 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.