Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quality Style | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Powder Keg | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expensive Game | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bexley | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roman Eagle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Choctaw Cat | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gloryibee | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Cookie | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courtinbymoonlight | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joyful Image | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Circle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sure Thing Samurai | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D J Deal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solevo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secrecy Is Evil | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Skyscraper | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Echoes | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Choice Not Chance | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Echo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stormforged | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Renton | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Astro Beau | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moneymilitia | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shop Time | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Dirt Alley | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Witt | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Mia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Eye Super Fly | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Janes Girls | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Expression | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Gold Rush | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | United Sister | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Fabulous | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Connors Outlaw | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devious Dennis | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Saturday | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stoney Brick Road | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tzedakah | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caymen’s Soldier | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Risk It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chivalrous | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Mischief | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm On the Beach | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Icon | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Show | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nacho Bar | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stretch | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Audible | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canned Heat | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Am What I Am | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Cinco | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How About Bob | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West of Town | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kitty Code | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out to Party | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherokee Sunrise | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All in Okie | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vestes | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Room Buddy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Work Zone | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Send Off | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.