Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 12, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thirsted 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kid Rich 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Winston D 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Never Say Uncle 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tranquil Sea 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hellz Kitchen 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Speightful Storm 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tomschickenfingers 1.60 2.7 5-1
2 2 Alzero 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sammy C Note 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Liberty Rising 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Pretrial Statement 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 St. Brigid’s Cross 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rina’s Revenge 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Pinky Brier 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Lovely Pashyn 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dopamine 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Lady Rose 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’s a Gemma 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 My Sherrona 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Ellesmere Island 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Trango Tower 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Dimensionality 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Tatania 3.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Snide 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alias 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Fiddling Felix 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Gualillo 3.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Gypsy Dreaming 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Private Flight 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Magnanimous Max 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Pop Goes the Wiz 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 The Hero Code 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Frostelle 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mitole’s Girl 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sight to See 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Queen in the Deck 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Best Impression 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 She’s Complicated 1.80 4 8-1
4 4 Moonlit Weekend 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Brooklyn Dantz 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Toxic Girl 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Good Bali 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ez Roll 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Senegal 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Mo for the King 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Cocktailsnkringle 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Magni 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Metatron 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Incantation 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Toga Dan 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 I Can See That 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Party in the Army 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Music in Motion 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Pure Mischief 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Deacon Blues 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Violin 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Life’s Too Short 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Calvary Hill 30.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Central Spirit 8.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Baby Meanie 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.