Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Nugget | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Senor Smoke | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Severus Squall | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lee’s Wicked One | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Petitioner | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Deelite | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Valor | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Free | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Isle Call U Later | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jusasteeledreamer | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redrebelproduction | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big Duck | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Charlie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krugerrand Kip | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Lee | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Avion | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Gold | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Gansito | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Mo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Justlikelouise | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Keen | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simply Grace | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cairo Dancer | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ida Lilly Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Dancer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Taylors Wonder | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seraphina Sea | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K K’s First Dance | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foggy Morning | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Tammany | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fund Lavender | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prado’s Priority | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bind Faith | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drilling Report | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oceola | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Deal Me Aces | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Brad | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tarkington Sunrise | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exploding Circle | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good by Faith | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose Hill Rocket | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Indian Girl | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kancancutie | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Barcents | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Micheline Gail | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Revenger | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Benjamino | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gomarkgo | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Honors | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ahooga | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | World Renowned | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Velocity Storm | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charismatic Sailor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Layla’s Song | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Pea | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perceptive | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fern Spirit | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be a Bandit | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hardly Mischievous | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lightening Mo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saberfight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Ready to Win | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean’s Ruler | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Toms Lucky Mo | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lewis Memorial | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Embrace My Heart | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Eddie A | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steve’s Trouble | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Streak | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Straight Dropbilly | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | B D Envisionist | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Candy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Littlebitofajimmy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.