Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Severus Squall | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Deelite | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Petitioner | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Valor | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lee’s Wicked One | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jusasteeledreamer | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not Free | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Nugget | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redrebelproduction | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isle Call U Later | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Duck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Senor Smoke | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Charlie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Lee | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Avion | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Gansito | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krugerrand Kip | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Mo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Justlikelouise | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simply Grace | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Keen | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Dancer | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ida Lilly Girl | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cairo Dancer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | K K’s First Dance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seraphina Sea | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Tammany | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foggy Morning | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taylors Wonder | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fund Lavender | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prado’s Priority | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bind Faith | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Day | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drilling Report | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Brad | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oceola | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Deal Me Aces | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Barcents | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tarkington Sunrise | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose Hill Rocket | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Revenger | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exploding Circle | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Indian Girl | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Micheline Gail | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good by Faith | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kancancutie | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gomarkgo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ahooga | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Honors | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benjamino | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Velocity Storm | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | World Renowned | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charismatic Sailor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uno Pea | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perceptive | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardly Mischievous | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fern Spirit | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Layla’s Song | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lightening Mo | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Be a Bandit | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saberfight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Ready to Win | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toms Lucky Mo | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steve’s Trouble | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean’s Ruler | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Streak | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Eddie A | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Straight Dropbilly | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Candy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Littlebitofajimmy | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Embrace My Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lewis Memorial | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | B D Envisionist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.