Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prince Day | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tonka Trouble | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Command | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Max S | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Sensation | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Gunner | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gypsan | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Blaze | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lily’s Creed | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Cost | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamy Deal | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Carmelina | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Same Play | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Southscape | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Single Shot | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Social Solution | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doolgaroux | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mardi Gras Empire | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Party At Jays | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Passive Nobody | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josh G | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnolia West | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Aries Honor | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Nickel | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emily’s Boy | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tsuperman | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Standard | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Azteca Storm | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Campanario | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run David Run | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deckhand | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Beliefs | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brock’s Boy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Bertie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Kristen | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Glory | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rumpus | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Joy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rambert | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call’em All | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All About Me | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chaparrita | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Magic City Classic S.) – Magic City Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jovie G | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liken It | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wabash | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dromas | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aoide | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Channelfortynine | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unaffiliated | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moor to Conquer | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brit’s Wit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gorilla Trek | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bizzee Channel | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Contemplation | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Skipper’s Pride | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | All in Sync | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Ricky Bobby | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Even the Wind | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mailman Money | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Towering Storm | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pico d’Oro | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parrot Head | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Z Z’s Prince | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bello Creedo | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Island Cabana | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duvee | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regatta Bay | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Halo | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contraband Early | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Dad’s Guitar | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saucy Argument | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stone Alliance | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaiian Argument | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.