Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 12, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prince Day 0.60 1 2-1
6 6 Tonka Trouble 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Max S 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Full Command 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Gold Gunner 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Classic Sensation 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midnight Blaze 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Gypsan 1.80 2.4 4-1
2 2 Roll Gypsy Roll 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Lily’s Creed 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Bella Carmelina 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dreamy Deal 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 No Cost 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 A Passive Nobody 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Southscape 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Doolgaroux 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Big Nickel 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Same Play 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Emily’s Boy 20.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Single Shot 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Magnolia West 10.00 3.2 6-1
13 13 Aries Honor 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Mardi Gras Empire 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Social Solution 8.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Party At Jays 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tsuperman 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Josh G 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Run David Run 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Heavenly Beliefs 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Brock’s Boy 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Our Standard 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Campanario 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Deckhand 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Azteca Storm 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Baby Kristen 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bayou Bertie 3.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Rambert 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Annie’s Joy 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Spinning Glory 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 All About Me 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Chaparrita 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Rumpus 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Call’em All 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Magic City Classic S.) – Magic City Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jovie G 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Liken It 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Wabash 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Dromas 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Channelfortynine 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Aoide 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Unaffiliated 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Moor to Conquer 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Z Z’s Prince 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brit’s Wit 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Contemplation 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Gorilla Trek 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Even the Wind 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Deccan Prince (IRE) 4.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Mailman Money 10.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Skipper’s Pride 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Towering Storm 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Parrot Head 20.00 3 6-1
2 2 Pico d’Oro 20.00 5.3 10-1
14 14 Bizzee Channel 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 All in Sync 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ricky Bobby 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bello Creedo 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Island Cabana 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Contraband Early 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Midnight Halo 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 My Dad’s Guitar 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Regatta Bay 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hawaiian Argument 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Saucy Argument 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Stone Alliance 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Duvee 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.